A new study found that at least 1.8 million people could die this year from the new Coronavirus Infectious Disease (Corona19) pandemic.
On the 26th (local time), multiple foreign journalists reported that the Imperial College of London, UK, announced the results of a simulation study that predicted that 186 to 14.5 million people worldwide will be killed by Corona 19 in accordance with the country’s defense measures. did.
Researchers at the epidemiology of Imperial College predicted the number of corona19 infections and deaths worldwide this year based on propagation and mortality information from China and high-income countries. As a result, assuming the worst-case scenario of completely neglecting and not intervening in the spread, Corona19 is expected to infect nearly all of the world, killing 40 million this year.
On the other hand, if strong measures to prevent virus spread, including social distance and mobility restrictions, were implemented early, the death rate per 100,000 people per week could be controlled to 0.2, and the number of deaths worldwide could be reduced to 186 million. .
In this optimistic scenario, by the end of the year, there were 47 million people worldwide. Even if the same measures were taken, the researchers were concerned that if each country missed the right time, the number of infected people would increase to 2.4 billion, and the death rate per 100,000 people per week would rise to 1.6, a total of 14.5 million people would die.
“We can kill tens of millions of people, depending on how quickly each country implements powerful measures to prevent them, including prosecutors, quarantine and wide social distances,” the researchers said.